What's going on with comet Wirtanen?


Wirtanen's Lightcurve

Lightcurve of comet Wirtanen

Lightcurve of comet Wirtanen (colored dots), compiled from observations reported to the Minor Planet Center1 (solid circles) and the Comet Observer's Database2 (open circles). Predicted magnitudes are current estimates from sources using different techniques, and have a wide variability. These will be updated as more recent observations help in constraining the projections.


Updates


21 Sep 2018

Updates on brightness and Semrock CN filter tests

Recent visual observations are following the Yoshida prediction (which itself is derived from visual observations). This suggests that Wirtanen might still reach naked eye brightness. MPC magnitudes tend to be fainter because they are usually derived from smaller apertures.

Jorma Ryske performed tests with his own Semrock CN filter using a 12-inch telescope. By observing comet 21P/Giacobini-Zinner, he found that, with his larger telescope he was able to detect features in the CN coma. This could be promising for the close approach of comet Wirtanen. See the Semrock test page for more information.

4 Sep 2018

Brightness Update

Current trends indicate that Wirtanen is following the fainter level of predictions, which peak around mag 8 at closest approach. On previous appritions, it exhibited an upturn around this point in its orbit. Whether it follows this pattern in the next few weeks will provide a better constraint on how bright it might get.

14 Aug 2018

Current appearance

Images from Aug 9, 2018 were obtained when Wirtanen was at a heliocentric distance of 1.86 AU, geocentric distance of 1.09 AU, and had an R magnitude ~17. It shows a short tail to the WSW. The image is ~60,000 km across at the comet's distance

Aug
9 image of comet 46P/Wirtanen

26 Jun 2018

Update/Correction on Wirtanen's recovery

On June 1, we reported that Wirtanen had been recovered (see June 1 report below). It turns out that the object that we reported in the May 8 images was a random asteroid (133655), that had nearly the same expected brightness and proper motion as Wirtanen, but was following ~77 arcsec behind the comet's predicted position.

On Jun 18, 19 and 20, Lori Feaga et al. (UMD) obtained observations of Wirtanen from the DCT. Astrometry from these observations, which were obtained under better conditions (2 airmass during astronomical twilight) than the May data, linked well to measurements from 2014. This confirmed that the June ID was actually Wirtanen, and proved that the May ID was not.

The June 18-20 images were obtained when Wirtanen was at a heliocentric distance of 2.28 AU, geocentric distance of 1.98 AU, and had an r' magnitude of 20.6. It shows a short tail (~5 arcsec) to the SSW (in the anti-solar direction, which also coincides with the direction opposite to the comet's velocity vector).

May
8 image of comet 46P/Wirtanen

To re-visit the May 8 observations, we used Wirtanen's new orbit solution to look for the comet in those data, and found that it was close to the newly-predicted positions but barely detectable in individual frames. It became visible when all images were coadded, and is in fact, seen in the coadded image that we presented in our report from June 1.

May
8 image of comet 46P/Wirtanen

The new data indicate that Wirtanen is currently 1-1.5 mag fainter than predicted in both May and June. It is not yet clear how this will translate to the brightness around close approach to the Earth.

The updated orbit solution confirms that Wirtanen will make its close approach to the Earth at a distance of 0.0775 AU on December 16, 2018, at 13:29 UT. Additional astrometry is requested to continue to refine the orbit and constrain the effects of any non-gravitational forces.


1 Jun 2018

Comet Wirtanen has been recovered!

46P/Wirtanen was recovered on May 8, 2018 in images obtained by Nick Moskovitz (Lowell Observatory), in collaboration with Tony Farnham and Matthew Knight (University of Maryland). Six images of the comet were obtained at the Discovery Channel Telescope operated by Lowell Observatory. They were acquired during astronomical twilight at 4.5-5.1 airmass. A coadded version of the images is shown below.

At the time of the recovery, Wirtanen was at a heliocentric distance of 2.61 AU, geocentric distance of 2.80 AU, and had an r' magnitude of 20.3. There is no obvious coma visible in the images, but the comet's brightness suggests that it is already exhibiting activity.

The updated orbit solution confirms that Wirtanen will make its close approach to the Earth at a distance of 0.078 AU on December 16, 2018, but with only limited 2018 observations, the exact time of close approach has an uncertainty of several hours. Additional astrometry is requested to refine the orbit and constrain the effects of non-gravitational forces.

Recovery image
of comet 46P/Wirtanen


1. Thanks to the Minor Planet Center (MPC), operated by the Smithsonian Astrophysical Observatory (SAO) under the auspices of International Astronomical Union (IAU) for compiling brightness and astrometric measurements.


2. We acknowledge with thanks the comet observations from the COBS Comet Observation Database contributed by observers worldwide and used in this research.